Friday, December 9, 2016

North Korea able to produce 20 nuclear bombs: experts

North Korea able to produce 20 nuclear bombs: experts

Analysts say despite sanctions, increased uranium production means the country can make six nuclear weapons a year.

North Korean leader Kim Jong-un waves to officials in this undated photo
North Korea will have enough material for about 20 nuclear bombs by the end of this year with enhanced uranium-enrichment facilities and an existing stockpile of plutonium, according to new assessments by weapons experts.
The revelations came as North Korea accused the United States of pushing the Korean peninsula to "the point of explosion" after it dispatched two huge bombers in a show of force against North Korea.
The American supersonic B-1B Lancers flew over South Korea on Tuesday as the US pledged its "unshakeable commitment" to defend its allies in the region, following North Korea's fifth and largest-ever nuclear test conducted last week.
The North has evaded a decade of United Nations sanctions to develop its uranium enrichment process, enabling it to run an effectively self-sufficient nuclear programme that is capable of producing six nuclear bombs a year, arms analysts say.
The true nuclear capability of the isolated and secretive state is impossible to verify.
According to South Korea, the North is preparing for another nuclear test - a sign it has no shortage of material to do so.
North Korea has an abundance of uranium reserves and has been working covertly for more than a decade on a project to enrich the material to weapons-grade level, the experts say.

That project, believed to have been expanded significantly, is most probably the source of up to 150kg of highly enriched uranium a year, said Siegfried Hecker, a leading expert on the North's nuclear programme.
That quantity is enough for roughly six nuclear bombs, Hecker, who toured the North's main Yongbyon nuclear facility in 2010, wrote in a report on the 38 North website, of Johns Hopkins University in Washington DC, published on Monday.
Added to an estimated 32-54kg plutonium stockpile, the North will have sufficient fissile material for about 20 bombs by the end of 2016, Hecker said.
Assessments of the North's plutonium stockpile are generally consistent and believed to be accurate because experts and governments can estimate plutonium production levels from telltale signs of reactor operation in satellite imagery.

Nuclear wild card

Hecker, a former director of the US Los Alamos National Laboratory, where nuclear weapons have been designed, has called North Korea's uranium-enrichment programme "their new nuclear wild card".
Jeffrey Lewis, of the California-based Middlebury Institute of International Studies, said North Korea had an unconstrained source of fissile material, both plutonium from the Yongbyon reactor and highly enriched uranium from at least one and probably two sites.
"The primary constraint on its programme is gone," Lewis said.
Weapons-grade plutonium has to be extracted from spent fuel taken out of reactors and then reprocessed, and therefore would be limited in quantity.
A uranium-enrichment programme greatly boosts production of material for weapons.
Despite sanctions, by now North Korea is probably largely self-sufficient in operating its nuclear programme, although it may still struggle to produce some material and items, Lewis said.
"While we saw this work in Iran, over time countries can adjust to sanctions," he said.

Who’s who in Donald Trump's administration?







Who’s who in Donald Trump's administration?


WHITE HOUSE



Donald Trump

President-elect


The real estate mogul, businessman, pageant owner, and former reality-TV personality survived not only the fallout from his populist rhetorical outbursts during the campaign, but also revelations dating back decades involving racism, sexual harassment, and tax avoidance, among others.


Mike Pence

Vice President-elect


The Indiana governor, who previously served as chair of the House Republican Conference, is known for his staunch opposition to abortion and controversial views on LGBT rights.

WHITE HOUSE ADVISORY ROLES



Reince Priebus

Chief of Staff


The Republican National Committee chairman, who has never held public office, is known to be close to House Speaker Paul Ryan.

Stephen Bannon

Chief Strategist


The controversial right-wing media figure and former Goldman Sachs banker, who helped transform the Breitbart news site into a leading mouthpiece of the Republican Party's anti-establishment far-right wing, has regularly been accused of xenophobia, anti-Semitism and misogyny.

Michael Flynn

National Security Adviser


The retired US army lieutenant-general, who once said that "fear of Muslims is rational" and described Islamic ideology as “sick", was the director of the Defense Intelligence Agency between 2012-14, but says he was forced out of the role because of his views on radical Islam.

CABINET



Steven Mnuchin

Secretary of the Treasury


The Wall Street insider made a fortune working for Goldman Sachs and later founded a successful movie production company.

General James Mattis

Secretary of Defense


The retired Marine Corps general, who fought in Iraq and Afghanistan, is an outspoken critic of the Obama administration's nuclear deal with Iran and its Middle East policy, in general.

Jeff Sessions

Attorney General


Sessions is known as one of the most right-wing and anti-immigration senators. In 1986, his nomination by Ronald Reagan to be a federal judge was rejected by Congress after several attorneys testified that he had made racist comments.

Wilbur Ross

Secretary of Commerce


The billionaire investor, known as the "king of bankruptcy" due to his penchant for buying distressed companies, in sectors like coal and steel, and flipping them for a profit, has previously invested in troubled banks in England, Greece and Cyprus.

Tom Price

Secretary of Health and Human Services


The six-term Georgia congressman and orthopaedic surgeon is an outspoken critic of President Barack Obama's signature healthcare reforms.

Elaine Chao

Secretary of Transportation


The Taiwan-born Washington insider who previously led the labour department under President George W Bush has also served as deputy secretary of transportation and director of the Peace Corps. Since 2011, Chao has sat on the board of Wells Fargo.

Betsy DeVos

Secretary of Education


The Michigan Republican Party chairwoman - who has campaigned for publicly funded charter schools to be set up by teachers, parents, or community groups outside the state-school system - once described Trump as "an interloper".

Ben Carson

Housing Secretary


The retired neurosurgeon and former presidential candidate later became Trump's most high-profile African American supporter, after losing the Republican primary. Carson is also an outspoken advocate of creationism.

Scott Pruitt

Head of EPA


Scott Pruitt, picked as head of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), has in the past sued the EPA in a bid to undo a key regulation under outgoing President Barack Obama that would curb greenhouse gas emissions blamed for climate change, mainly from coal-fired power plants.

Pruitt, a climate change denier, also received more than $270,000 in donations from the oil and gas industry in the past, according to the National Institute on Money in State Politics, a nonpartisan group that monitors campaign contributions.

General John Kelly

Head of Homeland Security


General Kelly, who joined the Marine Corps in 1970, retired this year after a final command that included oversight of the Guantanamo Bay detention centre. He has a reputation as a border hardliner after a time in the Southern Command, which is based in South Florida and regularly works with Homeland Security on missions to identify and dismantle immigrant smuggling networks.

Linda McMahon

Head of Small Business Administration


Linda McMahon, co-founder and former chief of World Wrestling Entertainment (WWE), will head the Small Business Administration. She's a twice former Republican Senate candidate for the state of Connecticut and donated $6 million to Trump's campaign. Before she'll be instated, her appointment needs to be approved by the Senate.

MAJOR NON-CABINET ROLES



Nikki Haley

United States Mission to the UN


The Indian-American South Carolina governor, who was highly critical of Trump's proposal to ban Muslim immigrants, came to prominence last year by removing the Confederate flag from her state's capitol building.

Mike Pompeo

Director of Central Intelligence Agency


The Kansas representative in Congress has defended the National Security Agency’s surveillance programme and called whistle-blower Edward Snowden a “traitor”. He also insisted that the Guantanamo Bay detention facility must remain open.

Jared Kushner

Adviser


Ivanka Trump's husband, who is the principal owner of Observer Media and the real estate firm, Kushner Companies, has never had a formal role in government but is expected to serve as an unpaid adviser to his father-in-law.Nikki Haley

United States Mission to the UN


The Indian-American South Carolina governor, who was highly critical of Trump's proposal to ban Muslim immigrants, came to prominence last year by removing the Confederate flag from her state's capitol building.

Mike Pompeo

Director of Central Intelligence Agency


The Kansas representative in Congress has defended the National Security Agency’s surveillance programme and called whistle-blower Edward Snowden a “traitor”. He also insisted that the Guantanamo Bay detention facility must remain open.

Jared Kushner

Adviser


Ivanka Trump's husband, who is the principal owner of Observer Media and the real estate firm, Kushner Companies, has never had a formal role in government but is expected to serve as an unpaid adviser to his father-in-law.

Trump wants to cancel Boeing's Air Force One contract

Trump wants to cancel Boeing's Air Force One contract "Costs are out of control," says US president-elect who wants to cancel "ridiculous" order on new planes.



 US presidents have used Boeing planes since 1943, according to the company's website [Kevin Lamarque/Reuters]
US presidents have used Boeing planes since 1943, according to the company's website 
US President-elect Donald Trump urged the government to cancel an order with Boeing Co for a revamped Air Force One, saying costs were out of control.
Air Force One is one of the most prominent symbols of the US presidency. It has been used by US presidents since 1943, according to the company's website.
It was not immediately clear what prompted his complaint about Boeing and the presidential plane on Tuesday, but Trump's transition team said he aimed to send a clear message that he intends to save taxpayers' money after he takes office on January 20.

"Boeing is building a brand new 747 Air Force One for future presidents, but costs are out of control, more than $4bn. Cancel order!" Trump said on Twitter.
The budgeted costs for the Air Force One replacement programme are $2.87bn for the fiscal years 2015 through 2021, according to budget documents.
Trump, who has vowed to use his skills as a businessman to make good deals that benefit American taxpayers, then made a surprise appearance in the lobby of Trump Tower in New York, where he amplified his comments.
"The plane is totally out of control. I think it's ridiculous. I think Boeing is doing a little bit of a number. We want Boeing to make a lot of money, but not that much money," he said.
A spokesman for Boeing said the company had no immediate comment. Boeing shares slumped almost one percent after Trump's tweet.

During his unconventional election campaign, Trump complained about the cost of President Barack Obama's use of the presidential aircraft to campaign for his rival Hillary Clinton.
Trump used his own Boeing 757 to campaign around the country, pledging to shake up Washington.
The US air force, which operates the presidential planes, first announced in January 2015 that Boeing's 747-8 would be used to replace the two current planes that transport the US president.
The Air Force awarded Boeing an initial contract worth $25.8m in January this year.
This was to conduct studies on the costs of building the plane with the requirements desired by the White House, including making it possible for the plane to communicate even during a nuclear war, while also looking at lowering costs.

Vikings to Nazis


A brief history of war and drugs: From Vikings to Nazis

From World War II to Vietnam and Syria, drugs are often as much a part of conflict as bombs and bullets





Adolf Hitler presides over the dedication of the Reich Leadership School in Bernau, Germany [The Print Collector

Adolf Hitler was a junkie and the Nazis' narcotics intake gives new meaning to the term 'war on drugs'. But they weren't the only ones. Recent publications have revealed that narcotics are as much a part of conflict as bullets; often defining wars rather than sitting anecdotally on the sidelines of them.

In his book Blitzed, German author Norman Ohler describes how the Third Reich was permeated with drugs, including cocaine, heroin and most notably crystal meth, which was used by everyone from soldiers to housewives and factory workers.
Originally published in German as Der totale Rausch (The total Rush), the book details a history of abuse by Adolf Hitler and his henchmen and releases previously unpublished archived findings about Dr Theodor Morell, the personal physician who administered drugs to the German leader as well as to the Italian dictator Benito Mussolini.
"Hitler was a Fuhrer in his drug taking too. It makes sense, given his extreme personality," says Ohler, speaking from his home in Berlin.
After Ohler's book was released in Germany last year, an article in the Frankfurter Allgemeine newspaper posed the question: "Does Hitler's insanity become more understandable when you view him as a junkie?"

"Yes and no," Ohler answers.
Hitler, whose mental and physical health has been the source of much speculation, relied on daily injections of the "wonder drug" Eukodol, which puts the user in a state of euphoria - and often renders them incapable of making sound judgments - and cocaine, which he started taking regularly from 1941 onwards to combat ailments including chronic stomach spasms, high blood pressure and a ruptured ear drum. 
"But we all know he did a lot of questionable things before that, so you can't blame drugs for everything," Ohler reflects. "That said, they certainly played a role in his demise."
In his book, Ohler details how, towards the end of the war, "the medication kept the supreme commander stable in his delusion".

"The world could sink into rubble and ashes around him, and his actions cost millions of people their lives, but the Fuhrer felt more justified when his artificial euphoria set in," he wrote.
But what goes up must come down and when supplies ran out towards the end of the war, Hitler endured, among other things, severe serotonin and dopamine withdrawals, paranoia, psychosis, rotting teeth, extreme shaking, kidney failure and delusion, Ohler explains.
His mental and physical deterioration during his last weeks in the Fuhrerbunker, a subterranean shelter for members of the Nazi party, can, Ohler says, be attributed to withdrawal from Eukodol rather than to Parkinson's as was previously believed. 
Nazi leaders Adolf Hitler and Rudolph Hess during the Congress of National Labour in Berlin, 1935 [Photo by © Hulton-Deutsch Collection/CORBIS/Corbis via Getty Images]

World War II

The irony, of course, is that while the Nazis promoted an ideal of Aryan clean living, they were anything but clean themselves.
During the Weimar Republic, drugs had been readily available in the German capital, Berlin. But, after seizing power in 1933, the Nazis outlawed them.

Then, in 1937, they patented the methamphetamine-based drug Pervitin- a stimulant that could keep people awake and enhance their performance, while making them feel euphoric. They even produced a brand of chocolates, Hildebrand, that contained 13mg of the drug - much more than the normal 3mg pill.
Soldiers were awake for days, marching without stopping, which wouldn't have happened if it weren't for crystal meth
Norman Ohler
In July 1940, more than 35 million 3mg doses of Pervitin from the Temmler factory in Berlin were shipped to the German army and Luftwaffe during the invasion of France.
"Soldiers were awake for days, marching without stopping, which wouldn't have happened if it weren't for crystal meth so yes, in this case, drugs did influence history," Ohler says.
He attributes the Nazi victory in the Battle of France to the drug. "Hitler was unprepared for war and his back was against the wall. The Wehrmacht was not as powerful as the Allies, their equipment was poor and they only had three million soldiers compared with the Allies' four million."
But armed with Pervitin, the Germans advanced through difficult terrain, going without sleep for 36 to 50 hours.
Towards the end of the war, when the Germans were losing, pharmacist GerhardOrzechowski created a cocaine chewing gum that would allow the pilots of one-man U-boats to stay awake for days on end. Many suffered mental breakdowns as a result of taking the drug while being isolated in an enclosed space for long periods of time. 
But when the Temmler factory producing Pervitin and Eukodol was bombed by the allies in 1945, it marked the end of the Nazis' - and Hitler's - drug consumption. 

Of course, the Nazis weren't the only ones taking drugs. Allied bomber pilots were also given amphetamines to keep them awake and focused during long flights, and the Allies had their own drug of choice - Benzedrine
The Laurier Military History Archives in Ontario, Canada, contain records suggesting that soldiers should ingest 5mg to 20mg of Benzedrine sulphate every five to six hours, and it is estimated that 72 million amphetamine tablets were consumed by the Allies during World War II. Paratroopers allegedly used it during the D-Day landings, while US marines relied on it for the invasion of Tarawa in 1943.
So why have historians only written about drugs anecdotally until now?
"I think a lot of people don't understand how powerful drugs are," Ohler reflects. "That might change now. I'm not the first person to write about them, but I think the success of the book means ... [that] future books and movies likeDownfall might pay more heed to Hitler's rampant abuse."
German medical historian Dr Peter Steinkamp, who teaches at the university of Ulm, in Germany, believes it is coming to the fore now because "most of the involved parties are dead".
"When Das Boot, the German U-boat movie from 1981 was released, it depicted scenes of U-boat captains completely hammered drunk. It caused outrage among many war veterans who wanted to be portrayed as squeaky clean," he says. "But now that most of the people who fought in World War II are no longer with us, we may see a lot more stories of substance abuse, not just from World War II, but Iraq and Vietnam too."
 Members of the SA, the paramilitary wing of the Nazi party, during a training march outside Munich [Hulton Archive/Getty Images]



Of course, the use of drugs dates far further back than World War II.
In 1200BC, pre-Inca Chavin priests in Peru gave their subjects psychoactive drugs to gain power over them, while the Romans cultivated opium, to which Emperor Marcus Aurelius was famously addicted.
Viking "berserkers", who were named after "bear coats" in Old Norse, famously fought in a trance-like state, possibly as a result of taking agaric "magic" mushrooms and bog myrtle. Icelandic historian and poet Snorri Stuluson (AD1179 to 1241) described them "as mad as dogs or wolves, bit their shields, and were strong as bears or wild oxen".
More recently, the book Dr Feelgood: The story of the doctor who influenced history by treating and drugging prominent figures Including President Kennedy, Marilyn Monroe, and Elvis Presley, by Richard Lertzman and William Birnes, alleges that US President John F Kennedy's drug use almost caused World War III during the two-day summit with Soviet leader Nikita Krushcher in 1961. 

The Vietnam War

In his book, Shooting up, Polish author Lukasz Kamienski describes how the US military plied its servicemen with speed, steroids, and painkillers to "help them handle extended combat" during the Vietnam War.
A report by the House Select Committee on Crime in 1971 found that between 1966 and 1969, the armed forces used 225 million stimulant pills.
"The administration of stimulants by the military contributed to the spread of drug habits and sometimes had tragic consequences, because amphetamine, as many veterans claimed, increased aggression as well as alertness. Some remembered that when the effect of the speed faded away, they were so irritated that they felt like shooting 'children in the streets'," Kamienski wrote in The Atlantic in April 2016.
This might explain why so many veterans of that war suffered from post-traumatic stress disorder. The National Vietnam Veterans Readjustment study published in 1990 shows that 15.2 percent of male soldiers and 8.5 percent of females who experienced combat in Southeast Asia suffered from PTSD.
According to a study by JAMA Psychiatry, an international peer-reviewed journal for clinicians, scholars, and research scientists in psychiatry, mental health, behavioural science, and allied fields, 200,000 people still suffer from PTSD almost 50 years after the Vietnam War.
One of these is John Danielski. He was in the Marine Corp and spent 13 months in Vietnam between 1968 and 1970. In October, he released an autobiographical guidebook for sufferers called Johnny Come Crumbling Home: with PTSD.
"I came home from Vietnam in 1970, but I still have PTSD like a lot of other people - it never goes away. When I was in Vietnam in 1968 in the jungle, most of the guys I met smoked weed and took opiates. We also drank a lot of speed out of brown bottles," he says, speaking by telephone from his home in West Virginia.
"The army guys were getting stimulants and all sorts of pills in Saigon and Hanoi, but where we were, we just drank the speed. It came in a brown bottle. I know it made people tweaky and they would stay up for days."
"Of course, some of the men did some crazy stuff out there. It definitely had something to do with the drugs. The speed was so hardcore that when the guys were coming back from Vietnam they were having heart attacks on the plane and dying. They would be in such withdrawals - the flight would be like 13 hours without the drugs. Imagine fighting in Vietnam and then going home and dying on the way home," Danielski says.
"The amphetamine increases your heart rate and your heart explodes," he explains.
American soldiers and Vietnamese refugees returning to the town of Hue [Terry Fincher/Express/Getty Images] 
In his Atlantic article, Kamienski wrote: "Vietnam was known as the first pharmacological war, so called because the level of consumption of psychoactive substances by military personnel was unprecedented in American history."
"When we came back there was no support for us," Danielski explains. "Everyone hated us. People accused us of being baby killers. The veteran services were a shambles. There was no addiction counselling. That's why so many people killed themselves when they came back. Over 70,000 veterans have killed themselves since Vietnam, and58,000 died in the war. There's no memorial wall for them."
"Is there a connection between drugs and PTSD?" he asks. "Sure, but for me the hard part was the isolation I felt when I came back too. Nobody cared. I just became a heroin addict and alcoholic, and only went into recovery in 1998. Services have improved now, but ex-army men who served in Iraq and Afghanistan are still killing themselves - they have an even higher suicide rate."

The war in Syria

More recently, Middle Eastern conflicts have seen an increase in the rise of Captagon, an amphetamine that is allegedly fuelling Syria's civil war. Last November, 11 million pills were seized by Turkish officials at the Syrian-Turkish border, while this April 1.5 million were seized in Kuwait. In a BBC documentary called Syria's War Drug from September 2015, one user is quoted as saying: "There was no fear any more when I took Captagon. You can't sleep or close your eyes, forget about it."
Ramzi Haddad is a Lebanese psychiatrist and cofounder of an addiction centre called Skoun. He explains that Captagon, "which is made in Syria", has been around "for a long time - over 40 years".
"I have seen the effects the drug has on people. Here it is getting more popular in the refugee camps filled with Syrian refugees. People can buy it from drug dealers for a couple of dollars, so it's a lot cheaper than cocaine or ecstasy," Haddad says. "In the short term it makes people feel euphoric and fearless and makes them sleep less - perfect for wartime fighting, but in the long term it brings on psychosis, paranoia and cardiovascular side effects."
Calvin James, an Irishman who worked as a medic in Syria for the Kurdish Red Crescent, says that while he didn't encounter the drug, he has heard that it is popular among fighters with the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant group fighters, known as ISIL or ISIS. 
"You can tell by people's demeanour. On one occasion we came across a member of ISIS who was in a people carrier with five children and he was severely injured. He didn't seem to even notice and asked me for some water, he was extremely psyched up," says James. "Another guy tried to blow himself up, but it didn't work and he was still alive. Again, he didn't seem to notice the pain so much. He was treated in hospital along with everyone else." 
Cabinets like to anaesthetise their armies during wartime so that the business of killing people becomes easier
Gerry Hickey, psychotherapist
Gerry Hickey, an Ireland-based addiction councillor and psychotherapist, isn't surprised by recent findings.
"Delusion is part of the course and opiates are extremely addictive because they make people feel calm and give them a false sense of security. So, of course, they are perfectly suited to foot soldiers, naval captains and more recently terrorists," he says.
"Cabinets like to anaesthetise their armies during wartime so that the business of killing people becomes easier, while they themselves take drugs in order to keep their grandiose narcissism, megalomania and delusion in check."

"It wouldn't surprise me if suicide bombers are drugged up to the gills," he adds. 
"The thing about drugs is, that people not only lose their minds after a while, but also their physical health deteriorates after long-term use, especially as soon as addicts hit their 40s."
If Hitler was in a state of withdrawal during those final weeks of the war, it wouldn't be unusual for him to be shaking and cold, he explains. "People in withdrawal go into a massive shock and often die. They need to have other medication in that time. It takes three weeks of readjustment."
"I always get a little dubious when people ask, 'I wonder where they get the energy,'" he reflects. "Well look no further."
Adolf Hitler presides over the dedication of the Reich Leadership School in Bernau, Germany [The Print Collector/Print Collector/Getty Images]